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Saturday 2nd December North Texas v Florida Atlantic Free NCAAF Picks

Free Pick on Florida Atlantic –

Lane Kiffin has exceeded expectations in his first year on the job with FAU. I expected them to be improved and contend for the C-USA crown, but it’s been a cakewalk for them. They went a perfect 8-0 in league play, while outscoring opponents on average by 22.1 ppg. All but one of those conference wins came by fewer than 14 points, which includes a 69-31 win over this North Texas team, where it wasn’t even that close. The Owls scored on their first 11 possessions and had a 69-17 lead with nearly 13 minutes left in the 4th quarter.

I expect a better fight out of the Mean Green in the rematch, but not nearly enough to keep this within two touchdowns. Keep in mind since that first meeting, North Texas has lost one of their biggest weapons in running back Jeffery Wilson, who won’t play in this one as he continues to recover from an ankle injury. Wilson rushed for 1,215 yards and 16 touchdowns in 11 games.

I just think that puts too much pressure on quarterback Mason Fine, who is going to feel like he has to score every time he touches the ball with how the Mean Green defense figures to struggle against this high-powered FAU offense. He threw two picks against the Owls in that first meeting and I wouldn’t be shocked if he turned it over a couple more times here.

I just think FAU would have to play as bad as they have all season and North Texas would have to play their best just to make this one close. I’ll take my chances on Kiffin having this team ready to play with the conference title on the line. Take Florida Atlantic!

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