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Saturday 10th December Army vs Navy Free NCAAF Picks

I’m laying the points with Navy on Saturday. Army began the season with three straight wins, but won just three of their final eight with two wins coming against Lafayette and Morgan State. In fact, take those two out-manned programs out of the mix and Army was not only 1-5 to close the season, but failed to score more than 21 points in any of the other six games. The offense averaged only 318 yards on 4.79 yards per play in the six outings. Meanwhile, the defense was been riddled for 510 yards rushing on 5.4 yards per carry in two games prior to Morgan State. We went against Navy last time out and cashed when Temple put the screws to the Middies, but we believe they own the matchups to continue their domination in this series. Navy enters on a 13-5 ATS run as a favorite and 7-0 ATS when laying 3 1/2 to 10 points over the last couple of seasons. Navy’s laying the least amount of points to Army since 2005 and lost ATS the last two meetings as favorites of 21 1/2 and 16 1/2 points, winning outright, but falling short of big spreads. This year’s number is much more doable as adjustments have been made due to Navy’s QB injuries. We’ll take advantage of the adjustment, laying the points with Navy on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Saturday 3rd December Florida vs Alabama Free College Football Picks

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Florida +24

I want to start by saying I have not once bet on Florida this season, I’ve only bet against them. I did so successfully last week with Florida State, plus won against them with Arkansas, Tennessee and North Texas earlier this season. I have been as big of a Florida hater as anyone this season, not once backing them.

However, it’s to the point now where there finally looks to be value in backing the Gators. After that 18-point loss to Florida State last week, the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But they weren’t focused for that game after beating LSU the previous week to win the SEC East, and they were resting some players with injuries that will likely return against Alabama.

Conversely, the betting public loves Alabama. The Crimson Tide had have covered the majority of their spreads this season en route to their 12-0 straight up record. They covered five straight before failing to cover the past two games against UT-Chattanooga and Auburn. They did cover the 17-point opener against Auburn, but not the 20.5-point closing line as the public pounded them leading up to that game.

And it’s clear that the public is pounding the Crimson Tide again here as this line opened at -21.5 and has already been bet up to -24. There’s no question Alabama wants to win the SEC, but it knows that it can afford to lose this game and still make the four-team playoff. While I don’t expect them to lose, I do think the Crimson Tide will be just content with winning and not blowing the doors off the Gators, which is what it’s going to take to cover this 24-point spread.

The one thing about Florida is that it just has a knack for playing in close games. It can’t blow out bad teams because it doesn’t possess that type of offense, but it doesn’t get blown out by good teams either because it has one of the best defenses in the country that keeps it in games. It’s asking a lot for any team, even one as good as Alabama, to beat Florida by more than three touchdowns.

The Gators are giving up just 14.6 points per game, 292 yards per game and 4.6 yards per play this season. They are holding opponents to 13.3 points, 115 yards per game and 1.3 yards per play less than their season averages. Florida possesses perhaps the best cornerback duo in the country in Jalen Tabor and Quincy Wilson, which will help limit the big plays from the stud receivers for Alabama in ArDarius Stewart and Calvin Ridley.

We saw last year in the SEC Championship an overmatched Florida team that managed to cover the spread. The Gators were only getting 16.5 points in that contest, and lost 15-29. They were dominated statistically, getting outgained 437 to 180 by the Crimson Tide, but it just goes to show you that stats don’t always matter with this team. The Gators have a grit about them that cannot be taught, and they will fight you for four quarters. That was evident in their 16-10 win at LSU as 13.5-point dogs two weeks ago.

The Gators are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last seven neutral site games. The Gators are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. Bet Florida Saturday.

TWO Top-5 College Football Finishes L4 Years! Jack Jones has put together a 367-287 CFB Run long-term! He’s at it again this season as he’s currently the No. 10 CFB Capper in 2016-17! He is also on a 228-161 Run on CFB top plays rated 20* or higher!

Crush your book on the NCAA gridiron this weekend with Jack’s Saturday CFB Championship Game 3-Pack for $49.95! This card features three championship game winners in his 20* College Football GAME OF THE WEEK, his 15* LA Tech/WKU C-USA Early ANNIHILATOR and his 15* Clemson/VA Tech ACC Championship No-Brainer!

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