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Saturday 2nd December North Texas v Florida Atlantic Free NCAAF Picks

Free Pick on Florida Atlantic –

Lane Kiffin has exceeded expectations in his first year on the job with FAU. I expected them to be improved and contend for the C-USA crown, but it’s been a cakewalk for them. They went a perfect 8-0 in league play, while outscoring opponents on average by 22.1 ppg. All but one of those conference wins came by fewer than 14 points, which includes a 69-31 win over this North Texas team, where it wasn’t even that close. The Owls scored on their first 11 possessions and had a 69-17 lead with nearly 13 minutes left in the 4th quarter.

I expect a better fight out of the Mean Green in the rematch, but not nearly enough to keep this within two touchdowns. Keep in mind since that first meeting, North Texas has lost one of their biggest weapons in running back Jeffery Wilson, who won’t play in this one as he continues to recover from an ankle injury. Wilson rushed for 1,215 yards and 16 touchdowns in 11 games.

I just think that puts too much pressure on quarterback Mason Fine, who is going to feel like he has to score every time he touches the ball with how the Mean Green defense figures to struggle against this high-powered FAU offense. He threw two picks against the Owls in that first meeting and I wouldn’t be shocked if he turned it over a couple more times here.

I just think FAU would have to play as bad as they have all season and North Texas would have to play their best just to make this one close. I’ll take my chances on Kiffin having this team ready to play with the conference title on the line. Take Florida Atlantic!

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Saturday 2nd December Miami-FL v CLEMSON Free College Football Picks

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Miami +10)

I find it fascinating how quickly the narrative has changed for Miami. Just three weeks ago the media couldn’t sing the Hurricane’s praise enough after their emphatic 41-8 blowout win over then No. 3 Notre Dame. A sluggish showing against Virginia early in a 44-28 win and an outright loss at Pitt in the regular season finale and now all you hear about is how this team has no chance of knocking off the defending champs.

So little is thought of this team, that the books have inflated this line to double-digits and the public is still throwing down their cash on the Tigers. Keep in mind that Deshaun Watson and that great Clemson team last year was only a 10-point favorite against a Virginia Tech team that I don’t think was anywhere as good as this Miami team.

I not only think the Hurricanes can keep it close enough to cover, but I see no reason why they can’t win this game outright. Head coach Mark Richt did an amazing job this season playing the lack of respect card with his team and no more so than in that game at home against the Irish, where they were an underdog. I love how little people are talking about this team, as I think they play their best football in this spot.

The recent losses of wide out Ahmmon Richards and tight end Chris Herndon are big blows to Miami’s offense, but I think they can make enough plays here to put some points on the board. More than anything, I’m counting on a huge game from the Hurricanes defense. I look for them to really cause problems up front for Clemson and find a way to create some turnovers to help out the offense with a short field.

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